Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 412.610778 469.692972 533.394319 610.040305 700.137466 803.141495 930.467005
2025-09-28 313.219684 383.509407 469.121497 582.150433 729.060519 915.771258 1174.620450
2025-10-05 276.928519 356.353210 459.115752 604.007833 806.605755 1085.300658 1507.464847
2025-10-12 253.863741 340.100562 457.330362 631.938484 891.749382 1274.632000 1902.395923
2025-10-19 229.001469 316.895913 441.264698 635.065983 938.856100 1413.675225 2247.947116
2025-10-26 203.811022 289.583546 415.006203 617.927067 950.292597 1496.627448 2516.415362
2025-11-02 184.467472 268.362386 394.721116 606.258700 967.038782 1588.677718 2817.789054
2025-11-09 174.696744 260.332039 393.276125 623.845175 1034.104600 1777.279409 3341.191994
2025-11-16 162.266784 246.753731 381.319136 621.861461 1065.847909 1906.216016 3775.911932
2025-11-23 150.317132 232.732251 367.035584 613.736562 1084.541607 2012.469225 4187.536210
2025-11-30 141.855113 223.591318 359.863552 617.134412 1125.044758 2168.643778 4751.965609
2025-12-07 131.804287 210.889366 345.302614 605.039137 1132.942725 2257.479504 5178.149983
2025-12-14 123.940316 201.459451 335.913545 602.238883 1160.679776 2397.750305 5785.281724
2025-12-21 113.322521 186.431237 315.222647 575.245754 1133.849370 2409.904439 6054.650084
2025-12-28 110.408216 184.781470 318.749142 596.766479 1215.456438 2694.114136 7192.141805
2026-01-04 108.412995 184.584198 324.892832 624.299533 1315.075999 3045.296736 8671.406930
2026-01-11 103.605180 178.800169 319.781636 627.382036 1357.973959 3259.195529 9792.981059
2026-01-18 96.964468 169.090824 306.178078 610.488690 1349.885042 3333.030093 10457.782135
2026-01-25 91.466083 161.180060 295.518211 598.986781 1353.633963 3441.599215 11298.617874
2026-02-01 89.342704 159.616649 297.511721 616.322146 1434.072063 3793.665482 13256.042689
2026-02-08 85.479098 154.367504 291.484811 614.366823 1463.288381 3997.216213 14703.376761
2026-02-15 81.342220 148.302470 283.277846 606.358034 1474.861847 4148.043404 15998.324702
2026-02-22 78.505837 144.663048 279.923037 609.707361 1518.837580 4417.196426 18004.174553